Effectiveness of confinement to home during an influenza pandemic: evidence from the French case

Abstract : We study the health and economic effectiveness of confinement to home policy in the event of an epidemic. We then analyse the perception and behaviour of people face to this policy. In France, we see that the policy greatly reduces the disease incidence and is cost-effective for the whole population. However, when we disaggregate by age, policy is not always cost-effective for children and adults. This depends on the pandemic severity, the value of statistical life, and the proportion of people who follow the policy recommendations. We develop a questionnaire to analyse perceptions and individual behaviours. We understand that under certain conditions people are willing to comply voluntarily with the policy. In addition, we find that a large majority of individuals are risk-averse to the risk of contamination. We also observe the prudence and the certainty effect of Kahneman and Tversky (1979).
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Pré-publication, Document de travail
2017
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https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01500902
Contributeur : Caroline Orset <>
Soumis le : vendredi 29 septembre 2017 - 11:25:33
Dernière modification le : samedi 30 septembre 2017 - 01:21:56

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Epi4.pdf
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  • HAL Id : hal-01500902, version 2

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Caroline Orset. Effectiveness of confinement to home during an influenza pandemic: evidence from the French case. 2017. 〈hal-01500902v2〉

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